Results 1 - 10
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1,709
Valuing American options by simulation: A simple least-squares approach
- Review of Financial Studies
, 2001
"... This article presents a simple yet powerful new approach for approximating the value of America11 options by simulation. The kcy to this approach is the use of least squares to estimate the conditional expected payoff to the optionholder from continuation. This makes this approach readily applicable ..."
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Cited by 517 (9 self)
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-factor string model of the term structure. One of the most important problems in option pricing theory is the valuation and optimal exercise of derivatives with American-style exercise features. These types of derivatives are found in all major financial markets including the equity, commodity, foreign
Option Pricing: A Simplified Approach
- Journal of Financial Economics
, 1979
"... This paper presents a simple discrete-time model for valumg optlons. The fundamental econonuc principles of option pricing by arbitrage methods are particularly clear In this setting. Its development requires only elementary mathematics, yet it contains as a special limiting case the celebrated Blac ..."
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Cited by 1016 (10 self)
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This paper presents a simple discrete-time model for valumg optlons. The fundamental econonuc principles of option pricing by arbitrage methods are particularly clear In this setting. Its development requires only elementary mathematics, yet it contains as a special limiting case the celebrated
Overconfidence and speculative bubbles
- Journal of Political Economy
, 2003
"... Motivated by the behavior of asset prices, trading volume and price volatility during historical episodes of asset price bubbles, we present a continuous time equilibrium model where overconfidence generates disagreements among agents regarding asset fundamentals. With short-sale constraints, an ass ..."
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Cited by 329 (22 self)
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, an asset owner has an option to sell the asset to other overconfident agents when they have more optimistic beliefs. As in Harrison and Kreps (1978), this re-sale option has a recursive structure, that is, a buyer of the asset gets the option to resell it. Agents pay prices that exceed their own valuation
Implied Volatility Functions: Empirical Tests
, 1995
"... Black and Scholes (1973) implied volatilities tend to be systematically related to the option's exercise price and time to expiration. Derman and Kani (1994), Dupire (1994), and Rubinstein (1994) attribute this behavior to the fact that the Black/Scholes constant volatility assumption is violat ..."
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Cited by 303 (4 self)
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Black and Scholes (1973) implied volatilities tend to be systematically related to the option's exercise price and time to expiration. Derman and Kani (1994), Dupire (1994), and Rubinstein (1994) attribute this behavior to the fact that the Black/Scholes constant volatility assumption
Employee stock option exercises: An empirical analysis,
- Journal of Accounting and Economics
, 1996
"... Abstract This paper describes the exercise behavior of over 50,000 employees who hold long-term options on employer stock at eight corporations. Employees typically exercise options years before expiration, commonly sacrificing half of the Black-Scholes value. Exercise is strongly associated with r ..."
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Cited by 153 (6 self)
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Abstract This paper describes the exercise behavior of over 50,000 employees who hold long-term options on employer stock at eight corporations. Employees typically exercise options years before expiration, commonly sacrificing half of the Black-Scholes value. Exercise is strongly associated
Option Exercise Games: An Application to the Equilibrium Investment Strategies of Firms
- Review of Financial Studies
"... Under the standard real options approach to investment under uncertainty, agents formulate optimal exercise strategies in isolation and ignore competitive interactions. However, in many real-world asset markets, exercise strategies cannot be determined separately, but must be formed as part of a str ..."
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Cited by 158 (5 self)
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Under the standard real options approach to investment under uncertainty, agents formulate optimal exercise strategies in isolation and ignore competitive interactions. However, in many real-world asset markets, exercise strategies cannot be determined separately, but must be formed as part of a
Psychological factors and stock option exercise
- Quarterly Journal of Economics
, 1999
"... We investigate stock option exercise decisions by over 50,000 employees at seven corporations. Controlling for economic factors, psychological factors in�uence exercise. Consistent with psychological models of beliefs, employees exercise in response to stock price trends—exercise is positively relat ..."
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Cited by 121 (7 self)
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We investigate stock option exercise decisions by over 50,000 employees at seven corporations. Controlling for economic factors, psychological factors in�uence exercise. Consistent with psychological models of beliefs, employees exercise in response to stock price trends—exercise is positively
Mortgage Terminations, Heterogeneity and the Exercise of Mortgage Options
- Econometrica
, 2000
"... As applied to the behavior of homeowners with mortgages, option theory predicts that mortgage prepayment or default will be exercised if the call or put option is ‘‘in the money’ ’ by some specific amount. Our analysis: tests the extent to which the option approach can explain default and prepayment ..."
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Cited by 137 (16 self)
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As applied to the behavior of homeowners with mortgages, option theory predicts that mortgage prepayment or default will be exercised if the call or put option is ‘‘in the money’ ’ by some specific amount. Our analysis: tests the extent to which the option approach can explain default
Corporate Investment and Asset Price Dynamics: Implications for the Cross-Section of Returns
- Journal of Finance
, 2004
"... We show that corporate investment decisions can explain conditional dynamics in expected asset returns. Our approach is similar in spirit to Berk, Green, and Naik (1999), but we introduce to the investment problem operating leverage, reversible real options, fixed adjustment costs, and finite growth ..."
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Cited by 207 (8 self)
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the model using simulation methods and reproduce portfolio excess returns comparable to the data. Corporate investment decisions are often evaluated in a real options context, 1 and option exercise can change the riskiness of a firm in various ways. For example, if growth opportunities are finite
CEO overconfidence and corporate investment
- Journal of Finance
, 2005
"... We explore behavioral explanations for sub-optimal corporate investment decisions. Focusing on the sensitivity of investment to cash flow, we argue that personal characteristics of chief executive officers, in particular overconfidence, can account for this widespread and persistent investment disto ..."
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Cited by 219 (10 self)
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decisions of CEOs in Forbes 500 companies. We classify CEOs as overconfident if they repeatedly fail to exercise options that are highly in the money, or if they habitually acquire stock of their own company. The main result is that investment is significantly more responsive to cash flow if the CEO
Results 1 - 10
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1,709