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Coauthors, 2008: Long-term climate commitments projected with climate–carbon cycle models
| Venue: | J. Climate |
| Citations: | 29 - 5 self |
BibTeX
@ARTICLE{Plattner_coauthors,2008:,
author = {G. -k. Plattner and N R. Knutti and B F. Joos and A T. F. Stocker and A W. Von Bloh and C V. Brovkin and D. Cameron and D E. Driesschaert and E S. Dutkiewicz and F M. Eby and G N. R. Edwards and H T. Fichefet and J. C. Hargreaves and I C. D. Jones and J M. F. Loutre and E H. D. Matthews and K A. Mouchet and L S. A. Müller and S. Nawrath and C A. Price and M A. Sokolov and F K. M. Strassmann and A. J. Weaverg},
title = {Coauthors, 2008: Long-term climate commitments projected with climate–carbon cycle models},
journal = {J. Climate},
year = {},
pages = {2721--2751}
}
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Abstract
Eight earth system models of intermediate complexity (EMICs) are used to project climate change commit-ments for the recent Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change’s (IPCC’s) Fourth Assessment Report (AR4). Simulations are run until the year 3000 A.D. and extend substantially farther into the future than conceptually similar simulations with atmosphere–ocean general circulation models (AOGCMs) coupled to carbon cycle models. In this paper the following are investigated: 1) the climate change commitment in response to stabilized greenhouse gases and stabilized total radiative forcing, 2) the climate change commitment in response to earlier CO2 emissions, and 3) emission trajectories for profiles leading to the stabilization of atmospheric CO2 and their uncertainties due to carbon cycle processes. Results over the twenty-first century compare reasonably well with results from AOGCMs, and the suite of EMICs proves well suited to complement more complex models. Substantial climate change commitments for sea level rise and global mean surface temperature increase after
