@MISC{Bednar06valuingexit, author = {Jenna Bednar}, title = {Valuing Exit Options}, year = {2006} }
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Abstract
This paper examines an important aspect of federalism: the effect of a secession threat on the union’s productivity. Productivity requires a compliance maintenance regime with credible punishment. An exit option gives a government the alternative of opting out of the union rather than suffer the disutility of a punishment. Equilibria are characterized over a continuous range of exit option values. The results indicate that only exit options that are superior to union membership improve utility; those of moderate value decrease net and individual government utility due to their harmful effect on compliance maintenance. A prescription that emerges from these results is that if the exit option is inferior to the benefit from a thriving union, member governments should voluntarily submit to measures that make exit as costly as possible. In federalism we observe no perfectly harmonious unions; instead, even the most stable—the United States since 1865, Switzerland—are characterized by near-constant quibbling and, periodically, more serious disputes. Others, such as Canada, seem to be perennially at the brink of rupture. An emerging body of work studies the institutional design supporting