Results 1  10
of
14,930
Predicting the impact of central bank communications on financial
"... market investors ’ interest rate expectations ..."
On estimating the expected return on the market  an exploratory investigation
 JOURNAL OF FINANCIAL ECONOMICS
, 1980
"... The expected market return is a number frequently required for the solution of many investment and corporate tinance problems, but by comparison with other tinancial variables, there has been little research on estimating this expected return. Current practice for estimating the expected market retu ..."
Abstract

Cited by 490 (3 self)
 Add to MetaCart
return adds the historical average realized excess market returns to the current observed interest rate. While this model explicitly reflects the dependence of the market return on the interest rate, it fails to account for the effect of changes in the level of market risk. Three models of equilibrium
A theory of the term structure of interest rates,
 Econometrika,
, 1985
"... Each copy of any part of a JSTOR transmission must contain the same copyright notice that appears on the screen or printed page of such transmission. JSTOR is a notforprofit service that helps scholars, researchers, and students discover, use, and build upon a wide range of content in a trusted d ..."
Abstract

Cited by 1979 (3 self)
 Add to MetaCart
. Ross This paper uses an intertemporal general equilibrium asset pricing model to study the term structure of interest rates. In this model, anticipations, risk aversion, investment alternatives, and preferences about the timing of consumption all play a role in determining bond prices. Many
Noise Trader Risk in Financial Markets
, 1989
"... We present a simple overlapping generations model of an asset market in which irrational noise traders with erroneous stochastic beliefs both affect prices and earn higher expected returns. The unpredictability of noise traders ’ beliefs creates a risk in the price of the asset that deters rational ..."
Abstract

Cited by 894 (25 self)
 Add to MetaCart
We present a simple overlapping generations model of an asset market in which irrational noise traders with erroneous stochastic beliefs both affect prices and earn higher expected returns. The unpredictability of noise traders ’ beliefs creates a risk in the price of the asset that deters rational
Term Premia and Interest Rate Forecasts in Affine Models
, 2001
"... I find that the standard class of a#ne models produces poor forecasts of future changes in Treasury yields. Better forecasts are generated by assuming that yields follow random walks. The failure of these models is driven by one of their key features: The compensation that investors receive for faci ..."
Abstract

Cited by 454 (13 self)
 Add to MetaCart
for facing risk is a multiple of the variance of the risk. This means that risk compensation cannot vary independently of interest rate volatility. I also describe and empirically estimate a class of models that is broader than the standard a#ne class. These "essentially a#ne" models retain
Investor psychology and asset pricing
, 2001
"... The basic paradigm of asset pricing is in vibrant flux. The purely rational approach is being subsumed by a broader approach based upon the psychology of investors. In this approach, security expected returns are determined by both risk and misvaluation. This survey sketches a framework for understa ..."
Abstract

Cited by 420 (27 self)
 Add to MetaCart
The basic paradigm of asset pricing is in vibrant flux. The purely rational approach is being subsumed by a broader approach based upon the psychology of investors. In this approach, security expected returns are determined by both risk and misvaluation. This survey sketches a framework
An equilibrium characterization of the term structure.
 J. Financial Econometrics
, 1977
"... The paper derives a general form of the term structure of interest rates. The following assumptions are made: (A.l) The instantaneous (spot) interest rate follows a diffusion process; (A.2) the price of a discount bond depends only on the spot rate over its term; and (A.3) the market is efficient. ..."
Abstract

Cited by 1041 (0 self)
 Add to MetaCart
The paper derives a general form of the term structure of interest rates. The following assumptions are made: (A.l) The instantaneous (spot) interest rate follows a diffusion process; (A.2) the price of a discount bond depends only on the spot rate over its term; and (A.3) the market is efficient
Financial Intermediation, Loanable Funds, and the Real Sector
 Quarterly Journal of Economics
, 1997
"... We study an incentive model of ®nancial intermediation in which ®rms as well as intermediaries are capital constrained. We analyze how the distribution of wealth across ®rms, intermediaries, and uninformed investors affects investment, interest rates, and the intensity of monitoring. We show that al ..."
Abstract

Cited by 547 (7 self)
 Add to MetaCart
We study an incentive model of ®nancial intermediation in which ®rms as well as intermediaries are capital constrained. We analyze how the distribution of wealth across ®rms, intermediaries, and uninformed investors affects investment, interest rates, and the intensity of monitoring. We show
Monetary Policy Rules and Macroeconomic Stability: Evidence and Some Theory
 Journal of Economics
, 2000
"... We estimate a forwardlooking monetary policy reaction function for the postwar United States economy, before and after Volcker’s appointment as Fed Chairman in 1979. Our results point to substantial differences in the estimated rule across periods. In particular, interest rate policy in the Volcker ..."
Abstract

Cited by 1266 (17 self)
 Add to MetaCart
We estimate a forwardlooking monetary policy reaction function for the postwar United States economy, before and after Volcker’s appointment as Fed Chairman in 1979. Our results point to substantial differences in the estimated rule across periods. In particular, interest rate policy
Monopolistic competition and optimum product diversity. The American Economic Review,
, 1977
"... The basic issue concerning production in welfare economics is whether a market solution will yield the socially optimum kinds and quantities of commodities. It is well known that problems can arise for three broad reasons: distributive justice; external effects; and scale economies. This paper is c ..."
Abstract

Cited by 1911 (5 self)
 Add to MetaCart
violate the marginal condition.2 Thus we expect a market solution to be suboptimal. However, a much more precise structure must be put on the problem if we are to understand the nature of the bias involved. It is useful to think of the question as one of quantity versus diversity. With scale economies
Results 1  10
of
14,930