BibTeX
@MISC{Day_forecastaccuracy,
author = {N Labor Day and James E. Campbell},
title = {Forecast Accuracy by},
year = {}
}
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Abstract
voters and GDP growth during the second quarter of the year, the trial-heat and economy forecasting model predicted that George W. Bush would receive 53.8 % of the two-party popular vote (Campbell 2004a). Out of concerns about relying too heavily on a single poll and the possible complications associated with the Republican Convention running right up to the Labor Day weekend, a companion model based on the pre-convention Gallup poll, the net convention poll bump, and the economy was constructed. It forecast a slightly closer election, with a Bush vote of
