Consumption Growth and the Real Interest Rate following a Monetary Policy Shock: Is the Habit Persistence Assumption Relevant? (2001)
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BibTeX
@MISC{Auray01consumptiongrowth,
author = {Stéphane Auray and Clémentine Gallès},
title = {Consumption Growth and the Real Interest Rate following a Monetary Policy Shock: Is the Habit Persistence Assumption Relevant?},
year = {2001}
}
OpenURL
Abstract
In this paper, we concentrate on the deep mechanisms of one modelling feature namely habit formation. We apply an interesting (new) estimation procedure for estimating the habit persistence parameter. Furthermore, we study the role of habit formation in accounting for the joint behavior of the real interest rate and consumption growth following a monetary policy shock. A VAR estimation on US data shows that following a contractionary monetary policy shock, the real interest rate exhibits a persistent increase while consumption growth drops persistently. As the standard permanent income model is known to be unable to replicate this co–movement for intertemporal substitution motives, we introduce habit persistence in consumption behavior. We test the implied Euler equation using a method of moments on conditional moments (IRF) obtained from the VAR model. Our estimates of the habit persistence parameter are similar to previous results in the literature. Further, we find empirical support in favor of habit formation as a relevant assumption to represent the joint behavior of the real interest rate and consumption growth following a monetary policy shock. However, we also show that habit formation cannot account for the initial period.







