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Dynamic Mixture Models for Multiple Time Series

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by Xing Wei , Jimeng Sun , Xuerui Wang
Citations:9 - 0 self
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BibTeX

@MISC{Wei_dynamicmixture,
    author = {Xing Wei and Jimeng Sun and Xuerui Wang},
    title = {Dynamic Mixture Models for Multiple Time Series},
    year = {}
}

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Abstract

Traditional probabilistic mixture models such as Latent Dirichlet Allocation imply that data records (such as documents) are fully exchangeable. However, data are naturally collected along time, thus obey some order in time. In this paper, we present Dynamic Mixture Models (DMMs) for online pattern discovery in multiple time series. DMMs do not have the noticeable drawback of the SVD-based methods for data streams: negative values in hidden variables are often produced even with all nonnegative inputs. We apply DMM models to two real-world datasets, and achieve significantly better results with intuitive interpretation. 1

Keyphrases

dynamic mixture model    multiple time series    dmm model    real-world datasets    hidden variable    data record    latent dirichlet allocation    negative value    traditional probabilistic mixture model    noticeable drawback    data stream    svd-based method    nonnegative input    intuitive interpretation    online pattern discovery   

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