Do High Interest Rates Defend Currencies During Speculative Attacks? (2002)
| Venue: | World Bank, Development Research Group, Macroeconomics and Growth |
BibTeX
@INPROCEEDINGS{The02dohigh,
author = {Aart Kraay The},
title = {Do High Interest Rates Defend Currencies During Speculative Attacks?},
booktitle = {World Bank, Development Research Group, Macroeconomics and Growth},
year = {2002},
pages = {297--321},
publisher = {World Bank}
}
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Abstract
Do high interest rates defend currencies during speculative attacks? Or do they have the perverse effect of increasing the probability of a devaluation of the currency under attack? Drawing on evidence from a large sample of speculative attacks in developed and developing economies, this paper argues that the answer to both questions is "no". In particular, this paper documents a striking lack of any systematic association whatsoever between interest rates and the outcome of speculative attacks. The lack of clear empirical evidence on the effects of high interest rates during speculative attacks mirrors the theoretical ambiguities on this issue.
