@MISC{Mason_reliabilitysharpness, author = {Simon Mason}, title = {Reliability Sharpness Accuracy Hit rate Hit Score False alarm rate}, year = {} }
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Abstract
Learning objectives As you work through this session you will: Become familiar with the multi-faceted nature of forecast quality Learn the difference between forecast “quality ” and forecast “value”, in addition to other terms in forecast verification Understand common biases in estimates of forecast quality Become familiar with aspects of communicating forecast confidence: What do (or should) forecast probabilities convey?