...ation probability distribution is the distribution obtained by conditionalizing on E (note that it satisfies the constraint since Pr(E|E) = 1). The idea goes back at least as far as E. T. Jaynes (see =-=Jaynes 1979-=- for back references). 2in which λ 2 . If λ i is the true distribution, for i = 1, 2, then the expected log-likelihood of qE ( , ) D E given that E is true is given by: ( E λi, ) λi( ) log E( , ) λi(...