by Geir Storvik, Arnoldo Frigessi, David Hirst
http://www.math.uio.no/~geirs/publ/blurdjh_sent_020800.ps
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Abstract:
We compare two dierent modeling strategies for continuous space discrete time data. The rst strategy is in the spirit of Gaussian kriging. The model is a general space-time Gaussian eld where the key point is the choice of a parametric form for the covariance function. Mostly, covariance functions which are used are separable in space and time. Non-separable covariance functions are useful in many applications, but construction of such is not easy. The second strategy is to model the time-evolution of the process more directly. We consider models of the autoregressive type where the process at time t is obtained by convolving the process at time t 1 and adding some noise which are spatially correlated. Under specic conditions, the two strategies describe two dierent formulations of the same stochastic process. We show how the two representations look in dierent cases. Furthermore, by transforming time-dynamic convolution models to Gaussian elds we can obtain new covariance functions and by writing a Gaussian eld as a time-dynamic convolution model, interesting properties are discovered. 1
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