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A No-Arbitrage Approach to Range-Based Estimation of Return Covariances and Correlations (2003)

by Michael W. Brandt, Francis X. Diebold
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Range-based estimation of stochastic volatility models

by Sassan Alizadeh, Michael W. Brandt, Francis X. Diebold , 2002
"... We propose using the price range in the estimation of stochastic volatility models. We show theoretically, numerically, and empirically that range-based volatility proxies are not only highly efficient, but also approximately Gaussian and robust to microstructure noise. Hence range-based Gaussian qu ..."
Abstract - Cited by 223 (19 self) - Add to MetaCart
We propose using the price range in the estimation of stochastic volatility models. We show theoretically, numerically, and empirically that range-based volatility proxies are not only highly efficient, but also approximately Gaussian and robust to microstructure noise. Hence range-based Gaussian quasi-maximum likelihood estimation produces highly efficient estimates of stochastic volatility models and extractions of latent volatility. We use our method to examine the dynamics of daily exchange rate volatility and find the evidence points strongly toward two-factor models with one highly persistent factor and one quickly mean-reverting factor. VOLATILITY IS A CENTRAL CONCEPT in finance, whether in asset pricing, portfolio choice, or risk management. Not long ago, theoretical models routinely assumed constant volatility ~e.g., Merton ~1969!, Black and Scholes ~1973!!. Today, however, we widely acknowledge that volatility is both time varying and predictable ~e.g., Andersen and Bollerslev ~1997!!, andstochastic volatility models are commonplace. Discrete- and continuous-time stochastic volatility models are extensively used in theoretical finance, empirical finance, and financial econometrics, both in academe and industry ~e.g., Hull and

Parametric and Nonparametric Volatility Measurement

by Torben G. Andersen, Tim Bollerslev, Francis X. Diebold, Neil Shephard , 2002
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Abstract - Cited by 156 (26 self) - Add to MetaCart
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Separating microstructure noise from volatility

by Federico M. Bandi, Jeffrey R. Russell , 2006
"... There are two variance components embedded in the returns constructed using high frequency asset prices: the time-varying variance of the unobservable efficient returns that would prevail in a frictionless economy and the variance of the equally unobservable microstructure noise. Using sample moment ..."
Abstract - Cited by 130 (9 self) - Add to MetaCart
There are two variance components embedded in the returns constructed using high frequency asset prices: the time-varying variance of the unobservable efficient returns that would prevail in a frictionless economy and the variance of the equally unobservable microstructure noise. Using sample moments of high frequency return data recorded at different frequencies, we provide a simple and robust technique to identify both variance components. In the context of a volatility-timing trading strategy, we show that careful (optimal) separation of the two volatility components of the observed stock returns yields substantial utility gains.

Regime switching for dynamic correlations

by Denis Pelletier , 2004
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Abstract - Cited by 74 (0 self) - Add to MetaCart
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Volatility and Correlation Forecasting

by Torben G. Andersen , Tim Bollerslev , Peter F. Christoffersen , Francis X. Diebold , 2005
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Abstract - Cited by 72 (14 self) - Add to MetaCart
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Estimation of volatility functionals in the simultaneous presence of microstructure noise and jumps

by Mark Podolskij, Mathias Vetter , 2009
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Abstract - Cited by 66 (11 self) - Add to MetaCart
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Optimal portfolio allocation under higher moments.

by Eric Jondeau , Michael Rockinger - European Financial Management , 2006
"... Abstract We evaluate how departure from normality may affect the allocation of assets. A Taylor series expansion of the expected utility allows to focus on certain moments and to compute the optimal portfolio allocation numerically. A decisive advantage of this approach is that it remains operation ..."
Abstract - Cited by 55 (6 self) - Add to MetaCart
Abstract We evaluate how departure from normality may affect the allocation of assets. A Taylor series expansion of the expected utility allows to focus on certain moments and to compute the optimal portfolio allocation numerically. A decisive advantage of this approach is that it remains operational even for a large number of assets. While the mean-variance criterion provides a good approximation of the expected utility maximisation under moderate non-normality, it may be ineffective under large departure from normality. In such cases, the threemoment or four-moment optimisation strategies may provide a good approximation of the expected utility.
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... Small, and Mardia stand for the multivariate omnibus statistic (Doornik and Hansen, 1994), and the statistics proposed by Small (1980) and Mardia (1970) respectively. Under the null of multivariate normality, the statistics are distributed as w2 with 2n, 2n, and n(n þ 1)(n þ 2)/6 þ 1 degrees of freedom, respectively. ameans that the statistic is significant at the 1% level. 14 A number of studies suggest to improve the asset allocation by using more robust definitions of empirical moments. These techniques (such as the shrinkage method of Ledoit and Wolf 2004, or the range-based estimator of Brandt and Diebold, 2003) have proved to be very efficient in computing conditional covariance matrices. Their use in a context with higher moments remains an open issue that we leave for further investigation. Optimal Portfolio Allocation under Higher Moments 43 # 2006 The Authors Journal compilation # Blackwell Publishing Ltd. 2006 In Table 2 (Panel B), we observe very contrasted patterns of skewness in the data sets under study. In data set DS1, all co-skewness between MSCI global indices are found to be negative, most of them being statistically significant. In data set DS2, most co-skewness between S&P stocks are...

Variation, jumps, market frictions and high frequency data in financial econometrics

by Ole E. Barndorff-nielsen, Neil Shephard , 2005
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Abstract - Cited by 54 (7 self) - Add to MetaCart
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The price of correlation risk: Evidence from equity options

by Joost Driessen, Pascal J. Maenhout, Grigory Vilkov, Toby Moskowitz, Anthony Neuberger, Josh Rosenberg, Mark Rubinstein, Pedro Santa-clara - Journal of Finance, 64(3):1377
"... We study whether exposure to marketwide correlation shocks affects expected option returns, using data on S&P100 index options, options on all components, and stock returns. We find evidence of priced correlation risk based on prices of index and indi-vidual variance risk. A trading strategy exp ..."
Abstract - Cited by 38 (5 self) - Add to MetaCart
We study whether exposure to marketwide correlation shocks affects expected option returns, using data on S&P100 index options, options on all components, and stock returns. We find evidence of priced correlation risk based on prices of index and indi-vidual variance risk. A trading strategy exploiting priced correlation risk generates a high alpha and is attractive for CRRA investors without frictions. Correlation risk exposure explains the cross-section of index and individual option returns well. The correlation risk premium cannot be exploited with realistic trading frictions, provid-ing a limits-to-arbitrage interpretation of our finding of a high price of correlation risk. CORRELATIONS PLAY A CENTRAL ROLE in financial markets. There is considerable ev-idence that correlations between asset returns change over time1 and that stock return correlations increase when returns are low.2 A marketwide increase in correlations negatively affects investor welfare by lowering diversification ben-efits and by increasing market volatility, so that states of nature with unusually high correlations may be expensive. It is therefore natural to ask whether mar-ketwide correlation risk is priced in the sense that assets that pay off well when marketwide correlations are higher than expected (thereby providing a ∗Driessen is at the University of Amsterdam. Maenhout and Vilkov are at INSEAD. We would

Measuring volatility with the realized range

by Martin Martens, Dick Van Dijk - Journal of Econometrics , 2007
"... Realized variance, being the summation of squared intra-day returns, has quickly gained popularity as a measure of daily volatility. Following Parkinson (1980) we replace each squared intra-day return by the high-low range for that period to create a novel and more efficient estimator called the rea ..."
Abstract - Cited by 30 (1 self) - Add to MetaCart
Realized variance, being the summation of squared intra-day returns, has quickly gained popularity as a measure of daily volatility. Following Parkinson (1980) we replace each squared intra-day return by the high-low range for that period to create a novel and more efficient estimator called the realized range. In addition we suggest a bias-correction procedure to account for the effects of microstructure frictions based upon scaling the realized range with the average level of the daily range. Simulation experiments demonstrate that for plausible levels of non-trading and bid-ask bounce the realized range has a lower mean squared error than the realized variance, including variants thereof that are robust to microstructure noise. Empirical analysis of the S&P500 index-futures and the S&P100 constituents confirm the potential of the realized range.
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