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44
Range-based estimation of stochastic volatility models
, 2002
"... We propose using the price range in the estimation of stochastic volatility models. We show theoretically, numerically, and empirically that range-based volatility proxies are not only highly efficient, but also approximately Gaussian and robust to microstructure noise. Hence range-based Gaussian qu ..."
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Cited by 223 (19 self)
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We propose using the price range in the estimation of stochastic volatility models. We show theoretically, numerically, and empirically that range-based volatility proxies are not only highly efficient, but also approximately Gaussian and robust to microstructure noise. Hence range-based Gaussian quasi-maximum likelihood estimation produces highly efficient estimates of stochastic volatility models and extractions of latent volatility. We use our method to examine the dynamics of daily exchange rate volatility and find the evidence points strongly toward two-factor models with one highly persistent factor and one quickly mean-reverting factor. VOLATILITY IS A CENTRAL CONCEPT in finance, whether in asset pricing, portfolio choice, or risk management. Not long ago, theoretical models routinely assumed constant volatility ~e.g., Merton ~1969!, Black and Scholes ~1973!!. Today, however, we widely acknowledge that volatility is both time varying and predictable ~e.g., Andersen and Bollerslev ~1997!!, andstochastic volatility models are commonplace. Discrete- and continuous-time stochastic volatility models are extensively used in theoretical finance, empirical finance, and financial econometrics, both in academe and industry ~e.g., Hull and
Separating microstructure noise from volatility
, 2006
"... There are two variance components embedded in the returns constructed using high frequency asset prices: the time-varying variance of the unobservable efficient returns that would prevail in a frictionless economy and the variance of the equally unobservable microstructure noise. Using sample moment ..."
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Cited by 130 (9 self)
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There are two variance components embedded in the returns constructed using high frequency asset prices: the time-varying variance of the unobservable efficient returns that would prevail in a frictionless economy and the variance of the equally unobservable microstructure noise. Using sample moments of high frequency return data recorded at different frequencies, we provide a simple and robust technique to identify both variance components. In the context of a volatility-timing trading strategy, we show that careful (optimal) separation of the two volatility components of the observed stock returns yields substantial utility gains.
Estimation of volatility functionals in the simultaneous presence of microstructure noise and jumps
, 2009
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Optimal portfolio allocation under higher moments.
- European Financial Management
, 2006
"... Abstract We evaluate how departure from normality may affect the allocation of assets. A Taylor series expansion of the expected utility allows to focus on certain moments and to compute the optimal portfolio allocation numerically. A decisive advantage of this approach is that it remains operation ..."
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Cited by 55 (6 self)
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Abstract We evaluate how departure from normality may affect the allocation of assets. A Taylor series expansion of the expected utility allows to focus on certain moments and to compute the optimal portfolio allocation numerically. A decisive advantage of this approach is that it remains operational even for a large number of assets. While the mean-variance criterion provides a good approximation of the expected utility maximisation under moderate non-normality, it may be ineffective under large departure from normality. In such cases, the threemoment or four-moment optimisation strategies may provide a good approximation of the expected utility.
Variation, jumps, market frictions and high frequency data in financial econometrics
, 2005
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The price of correlation risk: Evidence from equity options
- Journal of Finance, 64(3):1377
"... We study whether exposure to marketwide correlation shocks affects expected option returns, using data on S&P100 index options, options on all components, and stock returns. We find evidence of priced correlation risk based on prices of index and indi-vidual variance risk. A trading strategy exp ..."
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Cited by 38 (5 self)
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We study whether exposure to marketwide correlation shocks affects expected option returns, using data on S&P100 index options, options on all components, and stock returns. We find evidence of priced correlation risk based on prices of index and indi-vidual variance risk. A trading strategy exploiting priced correlation risk generates a high alpha and is attractive for CRRA investors without frictions. Correlation risk exposure explains the cross-section of index and individual option returns well. The correlation risk premium cannot be exploited with realistic trading frictions, provid-ing a limits-to-arbitrage interpretation of our finding of a high price of correlation risk. CORRELATIONS PLAY A CENTRAL ROLE in financial markets. There is considerable ev-idence that correlations between asset returns change over time1 and that stock return correlations increase when returns are low.2 A marketwide increase in correlations negatively affects investor welfare by lowering diversification ben-efits and by increasing market volatility, so that states of nature with unusually high correlations may be expensive. It is therefore natural to ask whether mar-ketwide correlation risk is priced in the sense that assets that pay off well when marketwide correlations are higher than expected (thereby providing a ∗Driessen is at the University of Amsterdam. Maenhout and Vilkov are at INSEAD. We would
Measuring volatility with the realized range
- Journal of Econometrics
, 2007
"... Realized variance, being the summation of squared intra-day returns, has quickly gained popularity as a measure of daily volatility. Following Parkinson (1980) we replace each squared intra-day return by the high-low range for that period to create a novel and more efficient estimator called the rea ..."
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Cited by 30 (1 self)
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Realized variance, being the summation of squared intra-day returns, has quickly gained popularity as a measure of daily volatility. Following Parkinson (1980) we replace each squared intra-day return by the high-low range for that period to create a novel and more efficient estimator called the realized range. In addition we suggest a bias-correction procedure to account for the effects of microstructure frictions based upon scaling the realized range with the average level of the daily range. Simulation experiments demonstrate that for plausible levels of non-trading and bid-ask bounce the realized range has a lower mean squared error than the realized variance, including variants thereof that are robust to microstructure noise. Empirical analysis of the S&P500 index-futures and the S&P100 constituents confirm the potential of the realized range.