Results 1 - 10
of
117
"The China Syndrome: Local Labor Market Effects of Import Competition in the United States"
, 2011
"... For any other information regarding the Applied Economics Workshop, please contact Tamara Lingo (AEW Administrator) at ..."
Abstract
-
Cited by 62 (2 self)
- Add to MetaCart
(Show Context)
For any other information regarding the Applied Economics Workshop, please contact Tamara Lingo (AEW Administrator) at
P: Federal policy and the rise in disability enrollment: evidence for the Veterans Affairs’ disability compensation program
- Journal of Law and Economics
"... The authors are grateful to David Autor and Melissa Kearney for helpful comments and to Tamara Hayford for outstanding research assistance. We also thank Michael Wells from the Department of Veterans ' Affairs for assistance with data sources. Duggan thanks the Alfred P. Sloan Foundation and Si ..."
Abstract
-
Cited by 19 (7 self)
- Add to MetaCart
The authors are grateful to David Autor and Melissa Kearney for helpful comments and to Tamara Hayford for outstanding research assistance. We also thank Michael Wells from the Department of Veterans ' Affairs for assistance with data sources. Duggan thanks the Alfred P. Sloan Foundation and Singleton thanks the Maryland Population Research Center for support. The views in this paper represent only the views of the authors and not those of any of the individuals or institutions mentioned above. Authors can be contacted by
Labor Force Participation and Monetary Policy in the Wake of the Great Recession,Working Paper 2013
"... In this paper, we provide compelling evidence that cyclical factors account for the bulk of the post-2007 decline in the U.S. labor force participation rate. We then pro-ceed to formulate a stylized New Keynesian model in which labor force participation is essentially acyclical during "normal t ..."
Abstract
-
Cited by 18 (1 self)
- Add to MetaCart
In this paper, we provide compelling evidence that cyclical factors account for the bulk of the post-2007 decline in the U.S. labor force participation rate. We then pro-ceed to formulate a stylized New Keynesian model in which labor force participation is essentially acyclical during "normal times " (that is, in response to small or transitory shocks) but drops markedly in the wake of a large and persistent aggregate demand shock. Finally, we show that these considerations can have potentially crucial im-plications for the design of monetary policy, especially under circumstances in which adjustments to the short-term interest rate are constrained by the zero lower bound. The authors are currently on leave from the Federal Reserve Board as visitors in the research department at the International Monetary Fund and may be contacted as followsErceg: phone 202-623-4564, email
The impact of stricter criteria for disability insurance on labor force participation
- Journal of Public Economics
, 2011
"... This paper studies the effect of a large-scale policy change in the Austrian disability insurance program, which tightened eligibility criteria for men above a certain age. Using administrative data on the universe of Austrian private-sector employees, the results of difference-in-difference regress ..."
Abstract
-
Cited by 17 (2 self)
- Add to MetaCart
This paper studies the effect of a large-scale policy change in the Austrian disability insurance program, which tightened eligibility criteria for men above a certain age. Using administrative data on the universe of Austrian private-sector employees, the results of difference-in-difference regressions suggest a substantial and statistically significant decline in disability enrollment of 6 to 7.4 percentage points and an increase in employment of 1.6 to 3.4 percentage points. The policy change had important spillover effects into the unemployment and sickness insurance program. Specifically, the share of individuals receiving unemployment benefits increased by 3.5 to 3.9 percentage points, and the share receiving sickness insurance benefits, by roughly 0.7 percentage points.
Aching to Retire? The Rise in the Full Retirement Age and Its Impact on the Social Security Disability Rolls
- Journal of Public Economics
"... Wiseman, and to numerous seminar participants for helpful suggestions. Thanks also to the many employees of the Social Security Administration who assisted us with the data used in this paper. Duggan thanks the Alfred P. Sloan Foundation for support. The corresponding author (Duggan) can be contacte ..."
Abstract
-
Cited by 17 (1 self)
- Add to MetaCart
(Show Context)
Wiseman, and to numerous seminar participants for helpful suggestions. Thanks also to the many employees of the Social Security Administration who assisted us with the data used in this paper. Duggan thanks the Alfred P. Sloan Foundation for support. The corresponding author (Duggan) can be contacted at: University of Maryland, Department or at the email address above. The conclusions and opinions expressed in this paper are solely those of the authors and should not be construed as representing the opinions or policies of the Social Security Administration or any agency of the Federal Government. All errors are our own. 1 The Social Security Amendments of 1983 reduced the generosity of Social Security retired worker benefits in the U.S. by increasing the program’s full retirement age from 65 to 67 and increasing the penalty for claiming benefits at the early retirement age of 62. These changes were phased in gradually, so that individuals born in or before 1937 were unaffected and those born in 1960 or later were fully affected. No corresponding changes were made to the program’s disabled worker benefits, and thus the relative generosity of Social Security Disability Insurance (SSDI) benefits
When minority labor migrants meet the welfare state
- Journal of Labor Economics
, 2010
"... The lifecycle employment profiles of minority labor migrants who came to Norway in the early 1970s diverge significantly from those of native comparison persons. During the early years, employment in the migrant group was nearly complete and exceeded that of natives. But, about ten years upon arriva ..."
Abstract
-
Cited by 11 (2 self)
- Add to MetaCart
The lifecycle employment profiles of minority labor migrants who came to Norway in the early 1970s diverge significantly from those of native comparison persons. During the early years, employment in the migrant group was nearly complete and exceeded that of natives. But, about ten years upon arrival, immigrant employment started a sharp and steady decline, and by 2000 their employment rate was 50 percent, compared to 87 percent for the native comparison group. We find that immigrant employment is particularly sensitive to the business cycle, and that the economic downturns of the 1980s and 1990s accelerated their exit from the labor market. We trace part of the decline to the migrants initially being overrepresented in shrinking industries and occupations. But we also identify considerable disincentives embedded in the social security system that contribute to poor lifecycle
2013b. “The More Things Change, the More They Stay the Same: The Safety
- Net, Living Arrangements, and Poverty in the Great Recession.” Working Paper
"... Kuka provided excellent research assistance. The views expressed herein are those of the authors and do not necessarily reflect the views of the National Bureau of Economic Research. NBER working papers are circulated for discussion and comment purposes. They have not been peer-reviewed or been subj ..."
Abstract
-
Cited by 11 (2 self)
- Add to MetaCart
Kuka provided excellent research assistance. The views expressed herein are those of the authors and do not necessarily reflect the views of the National Bureau of Economic Research. NBER working papers are circulated for discussion and comment purposes. They have not been peer-reviewed or been subject to the review by the NBER Board of Directors that accompanies official NBER publications.
of LaborHow Financial Incentives Induce Disability Insurance Recipients to Return to Work
"... Any opinions expressed here are those of the author(s) and not those of IZA. Research published in this series may include views on policy, but the institute itself takes no institutional policy positions. The Institute for the Study of Labor (IZA) in Bonn is a local and virtual international resear ..."
Abstract
-
Cited by 10 (3 self)
- Add to MetaCart
(Show Context)
Any opinions expressed here are those of the author(s) and not those of IZA. Research published in this series may include views on policy, but the institute itself takes no institutional policy positions. The Institute for the Study of Labor (IZA) in Bonn is a local and virtual international research center and a place of communication between science, politics and business. IZA is an independent nonprofit organization supported by Deutsche Post Foundation. The center is associated with the University of Bonn and offers a stimulating research environment through its international network, workshops and conferences, data service, project support, research visits and doctoral program. IZA engages in (i) original and internationally competitive research in all fields of labor economics, (ii) development of policy concepts, and (iii) dissemination of research results and concepts to the interested public. IZA Discussion Papers often represent preliminary work and are circulated to encourage discussion. Citation of such a paper should account for its provisional character. A revised version may be available directly from the author. IZA Discussion Paper No. 6702
Has the boom in Incapacity Benefit claimant numbers passed its peak?
"... Just over 2.5 million people of working age were on Incapacity Benefit (IB) in Great Britain in 2006, twice as many as 15 years ago and we explore the factors contributing to that huge growth. Using a simple model linking IB ’inflow ’ to the size of the IB register via a pair of persistence paramete ..."
Abstract
-
Cited by 6 (0 self)
- Add to MetaCart
Just over 2.5 million people of working age were on Incapacity Benefit (IB) in Great Britain in 2006, twice as many as 15 years ago and we explore the factors contributing to that huge growth. Using a simple model linking IB ’inflow ’ to the size of the IB register via a pair of persistence parameters (’short ’ and ’long ’ term) we show that ’inflow’ has made virtually no contribution to the doubling of numbers since the mid-1980s. Instead, IB register is accounted for by a doubling of ’average ’ duration ’ on the register from 3 to 6 years, in turn has been driven by a steep rise in short term persistence (survival on the register from 1 to 2 years). We also use the model to discuss the likelihood that the British government will achieve its target of reducing IB numbers by 1 million over the next decade.
Trade Adjustment: Worker Level Evidence,
, 2013
"... Abstract In the past two decades, China's manufacturing exports have grown spectacularly. U.S. imports from China have surged, while U.S. exports to China have increased more modestly, consistent with the two countries' divergent current account imbalances. Using data on individual earnin ..."
Abstract
-
Cited by 5 (0 self)
- Add to MetaCart
(Show Context)
Abstract In the past two decades, China's manufacturing exports have grown spectacularly. U.S. imports from China have surged, while U.S. exports to China have increased more modestly, consistent with the two countries' divergent current account imbalances. Using data on individual earnings by employer from the Social Security Administration, we examine how workers in manufacturing industries exposed to import competition from China have faired in terms of labor income, employment, job mobility, and receipt of Social Security benets. Over the period 1992 to 2007, workers who in 1991 were employed in industries that experienced high subsequent levels of import growth have more years with zero labor earnings, lower cumulative earnings over the period, and a greater likelihood of receiving Social Security Disability Insurance as the only recorded source of income in a given year. More exposed individuals spend less time working for their intial employers, less time working in their intial two-digit manfuacturing industries, and more time working elsewhere in manufacturing. Eects on earnings and employment are much larger for women than for men, and also larger for individuals whose initial employers were relatively large, whose initial wages where below their rm's average, and who in the pre-sample period worked part time or intermittently. Individuals who work in regions more exposed to import growth (beyond their industry of employment) have more years with zero labor earnings as well. We obtain similar results using alternative measures of trade exposure. Our ndings suggest that there is signicant worker-level adjustment cost to import shocks and that adjustment is highly uneven across individuals according their conditions of employment in the pre-shock period.
