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19
Long-Term Barriers to the International Diffusion of Innovations’,
- NBER International Seminar on Macroeconomics 2011,
, 2012
"... Abstract We document an empirical relationship between the cross-country adoption of technologies and the degree of long-term historical relatedness between human populations. Historical relatedness is measured using genetic distance, a measure of the time since two populations' last common an ..."
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Abstract We document an empirical relationship between the cross-country adoption of technologies and the degree of long-term historical relatedness between human populations. Historical relatedness is measured using genetic distance, a measure of the time since two populations' last common ancestors. We find that the measure of human relatedness that is relevant to explain international technology diffusion is genetic distance relative to the world technological frontier ("relative frontier distance"). This evidence is consistent with long-term historical relatedness acting as a barrier to technology adoption: societies that are more distant from the technological frontier tend to face higher imitation costs. The results can help explain current differences in total factor productivity and income per capita across countries.
Endogenous growth and wave-like business fluctuations. Mimeo
, 2011
"... Abstract Schumpeter stated that "wave-like fluctuations in business...are the form economic development takes in the era of capitalism." This paper argues that observed long lags in the implementation of innovations make modern economies to behave consistently with Schumpeter's state ..."
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Abstract Schumpeter stated that "wave-like fluctuations in business...are the form economic development takes in the era of capitalism." This paper argues that observed long lags in the implementation of innovations make modern economies to behave consistently with Schumpeter's statement. In a simple endogenous growth model with implementation delays, the paper finds that: First, the equilibrium path admits a Hopf bifurcation where consumption, R&D and output permanently fluctuate. Innovations arrive en masse, moving the economy to a boom; the associated increase in purchasing power all over the business sphere induces research activities to flourish again; but, innovations will take a while to develop; when the new wave of innovations is eventually implemented, new products enter the market producing a second boom; a third will follow, then a forth and so on and so for. Second, this mechanism is quantitatively consistent with US aggregate data. Finally, a procyclical R&D subsidy rate moving around 10% and designed to half consumption fluctuations increases the growth rate from 2.4% to 3.4% with a 9.6% increase in welfare, 6.3% of the welfare gains due to consumption smoothing. JEL Classification O3, E32
Climate Policy with Technology Transfers and Permit Trading
, 2011
"... In this paper, we analyze technology transfers (TT) and tradable emission rights, which are core issues of the ongoing climate negotiations. Subsidizing TT leads to the adoption of better abatement technologies in developing countries, thereby reducing the international permit price. This is benefic ..."
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In this paper, we analyze technology transfers (TT) and tradable emission rights, which are core issues of the ongoing climate negotiations. Subsidizing TT leads to the adoption of better abatement technologies in developing countries, thereby reducing the international permit price. This is beneficial for industrialized countries as long as they are permit buyers, and as long as they can target subsidies to “additional ” investments. We also consider how TT affects countries’ non-cooperative choices of permit endowments and find that it reduces overall emissions. Finally, a simple numerical simulation model illustrates some results and explores some further comparative statics.
HYBRID INNOVATION IN MEIJI, JAPAN *
"... Japan’s hybrid innovation system during the Meiji era provides a useful laboratory for examining the effectiveness of complementary incentives to patents. Patents were introduced in 1885, and by 1911 1.2 million mostly nonpecuniary prizes were awarded at 8,503 competitions. Prizes provided a strong ..."
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Japan’s hybrid innovation system during the Meiji era provides a useful laboratory for examining the effectiveness of complementary incentives to patents. Patents were introduced in 1885, and by 1911 1.2 million mostly nonpecuniary prizes were awarded at 8,503 competitions. Prizes provided a strong boost to patents, especially in less developed prefectures, and they also induced large spillovers of technical knowledge in prefectures adjacent to those with prizes, relative to distant control prefectures without prizes. Linking competition expenditures with the expected market value of patents induced by the prizes permits a cost–benefit assessment of the prize competitions to be made. 1.
International Knowledge Diffusion and the Comparative
, 2012
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(Article begins on next page) The Harvard community has made this article openly available. Please share how this access benefits you. Your story matters.
GUILT AND RECIPROCITY IN LABOR MARKETS AND THE DIFFUSION OF AGRICULTURAL INNOVATIONS
, 2013
"... Rights Copyright © is held by the author. Digital access to this material is made possible by the University Libraries, University of Arizona. Further transmission, reproduction or presentation (such as public display or performance) of protected items is prohibited except with permission of the aut ..."
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Rights Copyright © is held by the author. Digital access to this material is made possible by the University Libraries, University of Arizona. Further transmission, reproduction or presentation (such as public display or performance) of protected items is prohibited except with permission of the author.
Universität Oldenburg, D-26111 OldenburgClimate Policy with Technology Transfers and Permit Trading
, 2011
"... In this paper, we analyze technology transfers (TT) and tradable emission rights, which are core issues of the ongoing climate negotiations. Subsidizing TT leads to the adoption of better abatement technologies in developing countries, thereby reducing the international permit price. This is benefic ..."
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In this paper, we analyze technology transfers (TT) and tradable emission rights, which are core issues of the ongoing climate negotiations. Subsidizing TT leads to the adoption of better abatement technologies in developing countries, thereby reducing the international permit price. This is beneficial for industrialized countries as long as they are permit buyers, and as long as they can target subsidies to “additional ” investments. We also consider how TT affects countries ’ non-cooperative choices of permit endowments and find that it reduces overall emissions. Finally, a simple numerical simulation model illustrates some results and explores some further comparative statics.
Economic Growth in Britain Since 1870 [Prepared for the Cambridge Economic History of Modern Britain]
, 2012
"... This chapter examines technological change in Britain over the last 140 years. It analyzes the effects of patent laws and innovation prizes that were designed to promote technical progress. It explores the challenge associated with the changing organizational structure of innovation and the shift fr ..."
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This chapter examines technological change in Britain over the last 140 years. It analyzes the effects of patent laws and innovation prizes that were designed to promote technical progress. It explores the challenge associated with the changing organizational structure of innovation and the shift from independent invention to R&D activity taking place inside the boundaries of firms. And it also studies the development of British industrial science in universities and efforts to promote innovation through the formation of industry clusters. Overall, the evidence supports the traditional story of British failure in generating large payoffs from technological development. Although from the early 1970s Britain experienced a revival in the quality of innovation and improved productivity growth, structural weaknesses in the commercialization environment still remain.
Diffusion of Containerization∗
, 2014
"... NOTE: Staff working papers in the Finance and Economics Discussion Series (FEDS) are preliminary materials circulated to stimulate discussion and critical comment. The analysis and conclusions set forth are those of the authors and do not indicate concurrence by other members of the research staff o ..."
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NOTE: Staff working papers in the Finance and Economics Discussion Series (FEDS) are preliminary materials circulated to stimulate discussion and critical comment. The analysis and conclusions set forth are those of the authors and do not indicate concurrence by other members of the research staff or the Board of Governors. References in publications to the Finance and Economics Discussion Series (other than acknowledgement) should be cleared with the author(s) to protect the tentative character of these papers.