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Variational algorithms for approximate Bayesian inference
, 2003
"... The Bayesian framework for machine learning allows for the incorporation of prior knowledge in a coherent way, avoids overfitting problems, and provides a principled basis for selecting between alternative models. Unfortunately the computations required are usually intractable. This thesis presents ..."
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Cited by 440 (9 self)
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a unified variational Bayesian (VB) framework which approximates these computations in models with latent variables using a lower bound on the marginal likelihood. Chapter 1 presents background material on Bayesian inference, graphical models, and propagation algorithms. Chapter 2 forms
Loopy belief propagation for approximate inference: An empirical study. In:
 Proceedings of Uncertainty in AI,
, 1999
"... Abstract Recently, researchers have demonstrated that "loopy belief propagation" the use of Pearl's polytree algorithm in a Bayesian network with loops can perform well in the context of errorcorrecting codes. The most dramatic instance of this is the near Shannonlimit performanc ..."
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Cited by 676 (15 self)
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limit performance of "Turbo Codes" codes whose decoding algorithm is equivalent to loopy belief propagation in a chainstructured Bayesian network. In this paper we ask: is there something spe cial about the errorcorrecting code context, or does loopy propagation work as an ap proximate inference scheme
MEGA5: Molecular evolutionary genetics analysis using maximum . . .
, 2011
"... Comparative analysis of molecular sequence data is essential for reconstructing the evolutionary histories of species and inferring the nature and extent of selective forces shaping the evolution of genes and species. Here, we announce the release of Molecular Evolutionary Genetics Analysis version ..."
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Cited by 7284 (25 self)
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Comparative analysis of molecular sequence data is essential for reconstructing the evolutionary histories of species and inferring the nature and extent of selective forces shaping the evolution of genes and species. Here, we announce the release of Molecular Evolutionary Genetics Analysis version
Do Better Schools Matter? Parental Valuation of Elementary Education
 QUARTERLY JOURNAL OF ECONOMICS
, 1999
"... The evaluation of numerous school reforms requires an understanding of the value of better schools. Given the difficulty of calculating the relationship between school quality and student outcomes, I turn to another method and use house prices to infer the value parents place on school quality. I lo ..."
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Cited by 500 (3 self)
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The evaluation of numerous school reforms requires an understanding of the value of better schools. Given the difficulty of calculating the relationship between school quality and student outcomes, I turn to another method and use house prices to infer the value parents place on school quality. I
A Simple RuleBased Part of Speech Tagger
, 1992
"... Automatic part of speech tagging is an area of natural language processing where statistical techniques have been more successful than rule based methods. In this paper, we present a sim ple rulebased part of speech tagger which automatically acquires its rules and tags with accuracy coinparable ..."
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Cited by 596 (9 self)
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to stochastic taggers. The rulebased tagger has many advantages over these taggers, including: a vast reduction in stored information required, the perspicuity of a sinall set of meaningful rules, ease of finding and implementing improvements to the tagger, and better portability from one tag set, cor pus
New results in linear filtering and prediction theory
 TRANS. ASME, SER. D, J. BASIC ENG
, 1961
"... A nonlinear differential equation of the Riccati type is derived for the covariance matrix of the optimal filtering error. The solution of this "variance equation " completely specifies the optimal filter for either finite or infinite smoothing intervals and stationary or nonstationary sta ..."
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Cited by 607 (0 self)
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statistics. The variance equation is closely related to the Hamiltonian (canonical) differential equations of the calculus of variations. Analytic solutions are available in some cases. The significance of the variance equation is illustrated by examples which duplicate, simplify, or extend earlier results
Latent dirichlet allocation
 Journal of Machine Learning Research
, 2003
"... We describe latent Dirichlet allocation (LDA), a generative probabilistic model for collections of discrete data such as text corpora. LDA is a threelevel hierarchical Bayesian model, in which each item of a collection is modeled as a finite mixture over an underlying set of topics. Each topic is, ..."
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Cited by 4365 (92 self)
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, in turn, modeled as an infinite mixture over an underlying set of topic probabilities. In the context of text modeling, the topic probabilities provide an explicit representation of a document. We present efficient approximate inference techniques based on variational methods and an EM algorithm
Constructing Free Energy Approximations and Generalized Belief Propagation Algorithms
 IEEE Transactions on Information Theory
, 2005
"... Important inference problems in statistical physics, computer vision, errorcorrecting coding theory, and artificial intelligence can all be reformulated as the computation of marginal probabilities on factor graphs. The belief propagation (BP) algorithm is an efficient way to solve these problems t ..."
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Cited by 585 (13 self)
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Important inference problems in statistical physics, computer vision, errorcorrecting coding theory, and artificial intelligence can all be reformulated as the computation of marginal probabilities on factor graphs. The belief propagation (BP) algorithm is an efficient way to solve these problems
Mixed membership stochastic block models for relational data with application to proteinprotein interactions
 In Proceedings of the International Biometrics Society Annual Meeting
, 2006
"... We develop a model for examining data that consists of pairwise measurements, for example, presence or absence of links between pairs of objects. Examples include protein interactions and gene regulatory networks, collections of authorrecipient email, and social networks. Analyzing such data with p ..."
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Cited by 378 (52 self)
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of connectivity (blockmodel) and a local model to instantiate nodespecific variability in the connections (mixed membership). We develop a general variational inference algorithm for fast approximate posterior inference. We demonstrate the advantages of mixed membership stochastic blockmodels with applications
Pricing with a Smile
 Risk Magazine
, 1994
"... prices as a function of volatility. If an option price is given by the market we can invert this relationship to get the implied volatility. If the model were perfect, this implied value would be the same for all option market prices, but reality shows this is not the case. Implied Black–Scholes vol ..."
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Cited by 445 (1 self)
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volatility of 20 % and subsequently a lower one, computed by a forward relationship to accommodate the oneyear volatility. We now have a single process, compatible with the two option prices. From the term structure of implied volatilities we can infer a timedependent instantaneous volatility, because
Results 21  30
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