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Rational Statistical Inference and Cognitive Development
"... All students of cognitive development agree that the central questions in development are 1) specifying the initial state of a human infant, 2) specifying the final state of development for a human adult, and 3) specifying how to get from the initial state to the final state. Then academic disputes ..."
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Cited by 10 (1 self)
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All students of cognitive development agree that the central questions in development are 1) specifying the initial state of a human infant, 2) specifying the final state of development for a human adult, and 3) specifying how to get from the initial state to the final state. Then academic disputes ensue. Cognitive developmental psychologists are roughly divided into two camps: those who are more or less nativists and those who are more or less empiricists. Some psychologists do not like these terms, and some alternatives are “those who believe in innate knowledge ” and “those who believe in learning, ” or “those who believed in initial conceptual knowledge ” and “those who believe in initial perceptual capabilities. ” This division is also correlated with whether a researcher believes in domain specificity or not: nativists tend to argue for domainspecific knowledge (even at the beginning of development) and domainspecific learning mechanisms; empiricists tend to argue for domaingeneral learning mechanisms that may result in domainspecific knowledge some years into development (for some representative explications of these views, see Carey &
Statistics and causal inference.
 J. Am. Statist. Assoc.,
, 1986
"... Problems involving causal inference have dogged at the heels of statistics since its earliest days. Correlation does not imply causation, and yet causal conclusions drawn from a carefully designed experiment are often valid. What can a statistical model say about causation? This question is address ..."
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Cited by 736 (1 self)
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Problems involving causal inference have dogged at the heels of statistics since its earliest days. Correlation does not imply causation, and yet causal conclusions drawn from a carefully designed experiment are often valid. What can a statistical model say about causation? This question
Estimation and Inference in Econometrics
, 1993
"... The astonishing increase in computer performance over the past two decades has made it possible for economists to base many statistical inferences on simulated, or bootstrap, distributions rather than on distributions obtained from asymptotic theory. In this paper, I review some of the basic ideas o ..."
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Cited by 1204 (4 self)
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The astonishing increase in computer performance over the past two decades has made it possible for economists to base many statistical inferences on simulated, or bootstrap, distributions rather than on distributions obtained from asymptotic theory. In this paper, I review some of the basic ideas
Reasoning the fast and frugal way: Models of bounded rationality.
 Psychological Review,
, 1996
"... Humans and animals make inferences about the world under limited time and knowledge. In contrast, many models of rational inference treat the mind as a Laplacean Demon, equipped with unlimited time, knowledge, and computational might. Following H. Simon's notion of satisncing, the authors have ..."
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Cited by 611 (30 self)
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Humans and animals make inferences about the world under limited time and knowledge. In contrast, many models of rational inference treat the mind as a Laplacean Demon, equipped with unlimited time, knowledge, and computational might. Following H. Simon's notion of satisncing, the authors
Graphical models, exponential families, and variational inference
, 2008
"... The formalism of probabilistic graphical models provides a unifying framework for capturing complex dependencies among random variables, and building largescale multivariate statistical models. Graphical models have become a focus of research in many statistical, computational and mathematical fiel ..."
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Cited by 819 (28 self)
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all be understood in terms of exact or approximate forms of these variational representations. The variational approach provides a complementary alternative to Markov chain Monte Carlo as a general source of approximation methods for inference in largescale statistical models.
Bayesian density estimation and inference using mixtures.
 J. Amer. Statist. Assoc.
, 1995
"... JSTOR is a notforprofit service that helps scholars, researchers, and students discover, use, and build upon a wide range of content in a trusted digital archive. We use information technology and tools to increase productivity and facilitate new forms of scholarship. For more information about J ..."
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Cited by 653 (18 self)
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, assessment of modality, and the inference on the numbers of components. Also, convergence results are established for a general class of normal mixture models. American Statistical Association
A Bayesian Framework for the Analysis of Microarray Expression Data: Regularized tTest and Statistical Inferences of Gene Changes
 Bioinformatics
, 2001
"... Motivation: DNA microarrays are now capable of providing genomewide patterns of gene expression across many different conditions. The first level of analysis of these patterns requires determining whether observed differences in expression are significant or not. Current methods are unsatisfactory ..."
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Cited by 491 (6 self)
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with neighboring genes. An additional hyperparameter, inversely related to the number of empirical observations, determines the strength of the background variance. Simulations show that these point estimates, combined with a ttest, provide a systematic inference approach that compares favorably with simple t
Probabilistic Inference Using Markov Chain Monte Carlo Methods
, 1993
"... Probabilistic inference is an attractive approach to uncertain reasoning and empirical learning in artificial intelligence. Computational difficulties arise, however, because probabilistic models with the necessary realism and flexibility lead to complex distributions over highdimensional spaces. R ..."
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Cited by 736 (24 self)
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physics for over forty years, and, in the last few years, the related method of "Gibbs sampling" has been applied to problems of statistical inference. Concurrently, an alternative method for solving problems in statistical physics by means of dynamical simulation has been developed as well
Incorporating nonlocal information into information extraction systems by Gibbs sampling
 IN ACL
, 2005
"... Most current statistical natural language processing models use only local features so as to permit dynamic programming in inference, but this makes them unable to fully account for the long distance structure that is prevalent in language use. We show how to solve this dilemma with Gibbs sampling, ..."
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Cited by 730 (25 self)
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Most current statistical natural language processing models use only local features so as to permit dynamic programming in inference, but this makes them unable to fully account for the long distance structure that is prevalent in language use. We show how to solve this dilemma with Gibbs sampling
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