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Investor psychology and security market under and overreactions
 Journal of Finance
, 1998
"... We propose a theory of securities market under and overreactions based on two wellknown psychological biases: investor overconfidence about the precision of private information; and biased selfattribution, which causes asymmetric shifts in investors ’ confidence as a function of their investment ..."
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Cited by 698 (43 self)
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outcomes. We show that overconfidence implies negative longlag autocorrelations, excess volatility, and, when managerial actions are correlated with stock mispricing, publiceventbased return predictability. Biased selfattribution adds positive shortlag autocorrelations ~“momentum”!, short
Implied Volatility Functions: Empirical Tests
, 1995
"... Black and Scholes (1973) implied volatilities tend to be systematically related to the option's exercise price and time to expiration. Derman and Kani (1994), Dupire (1994), and Rubinstein (1994) attribute this behavior to the fact that the Black/Scholes constant volatility assumption is violat ..."
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Cited by 303 (4 self)
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Black and Scholes (1973) implied volatilities tend to be systematically related to the option's exercise price and time to expiration. Derman and Kani (1994), Dupire (1994), and Rubinstein (1994) attribute this behavior to the fact that the Black/Scholes constant volatility assumption
Pricing with a Smile
 Risk Magazine
, 1994
"... prices as a function of volatility. If an option price is given by the market we can invert this relationship to get the implied volatility. If the model were perfect, this implied value would be the same for all option market prices, but reality shows this is not the case. Implied Black–Scholes vol ..."
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Cited by 445 (1 self)
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prices as a function of volatility. If an option price is given by the market we can invert this relationship to get the implied volatility. If the model were perfect, this implied value would be the same for all option market prices, but reality shows this is not the case. Implied Black
The JumpRisk Premia Implicit in Options: Evidence from an Integrated TimeSeries Study
 Journal of Financial Economics
"... Abstract: This paper examines the joint time series of the S&P 500 index and nearthemoney shortdated option prices with an arbitragefree model, capturing both stochastic volatility and jumps. Jumprisk premia uncovered from the joint data respond quickly to market volatility, becoming more p ..."
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Cited by 419 (3 self)
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prominent during volatile markets. This form of jumprisk premia is important not only in reconciling the dynamics implied by the joint data, but also in explaining the volatility “smirks” of crosssectional options data.
The Determinants of Credit Spread Changes.
 Journal of Finance
, 2001
"... ABSTRACT Using dealer's quotes and transactions prices on straight industrial bonds, we investigate the determinants of credit spread changes. Variables that should in theory determine credit spread changes have rather limited explanatory power. Further, the residuals from this regression are ..."
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Cited by 422 (2 self)
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The contingentclaims approach implies that the debt claim has features similar to a short position in a put option. Since option values increase with volatility, it follows that this model predicts credit spreads should increase with volatility. This prediction is intuitive: increased volatility increases
A path independent integral and the approximate analysis of strain concentration by notches and cracks
, 1967
"... An integral is exhibited which has the same value for all paths surrounding a class of notches in twodimensional deformation fields of linear or nonlinear elastic materials. The integral may be evaluated almost by inspection for a few notch configurations. Also, for materials of the elasticplasti ..."
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Cited by 419 (11 self)
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. On the other hand, the integral may be expressed in terms of the concentrated deformation field in the vicinity of the notch tip. This implies that some information on strain concentrations is obtainable without recorse to detailed nonlinear analyses. Such an approach is exploited here. Applications are made
Testing ContinuousTime Models of the Spot Interest Rate
 Review of Financial Studies
, 1996
"... Different continuoustime models for interest rates coexist in the literature. We test parametric models by comparing their implied parametric density to the same density estimated nonparametrically. We do not replace the continuoustime model by discrete approximations, even though the data are rec ..."
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Cited by 310 (9 self)
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Different continuoustime models for interest rates coexist in the literature. We test parametric models by comparing their implied parametric density to the same density estimated nonparametrically. We do not replace the continuoustime model by discrete approximations, even though the data
Default Implied Volatility for Credit Spread
, 1999
"... This paper presents a simple reduceform approach to pricing credit derivatives. The definition of default is purely based on the market value of a risky bond and its potential recovery value. A risky bond is treated as a riskless bond with an embedded short position on a barrier option. The risky b ..."
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bond market implicitly prices this barrier option. The default implied volatility (DIV) curve for credit spread is derived from the values of barrier options. The DIV curve is useful for pricing volatilitysensitive credit derivatives. In this paper, we show how the DIV curve is used to consistently
Do stock prices and volatility jump? Reconciling evidence from spot and option prices
, 2001
"... This paper studies the empirical performance of jumpdiffusion models that allow for stochastic volatility and correlated jumps affecting both prices and volatility. The results show that the models in question provide reasonable fit to both option prices and returns data in the insample estimation ..."
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Cited by 235 (7 self)
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sample estimation period. This contrasts previous findings where stochastic volatility paths are found to be too smooth relative to the option implied dynamics. While the models perform well during the high volatility estimation period, they tend to overprice long dated contracts outofsample. This evidence points
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