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53,600
Empirical exchange rate models of the Seventies: do they fit out of sample?
- JOURNAL OF INTERNATIONAL ECONOMICS
, 1983
"... This study compares the out-of-sample forecasting accuracy of various structural and time series exchange rate models. We find that a random walk model performs as well as any estimated model at one to twelve month horizons for the dollar/pound, dollar/mark, dollar/yen and trade-weighted dollar exch ..."
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Cited by 854 (12 self)
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This study compares the out-of-sample forecasting accuracy of various structural and time series exchange rate models. We find that a random walk model performs as well as any estimated model at one to twelve month horizons for the dollar/pound, dollar/mark, dollar/yen and trade-weighted dollar
Bayesian density estimation and inference using mixtures.
- J. Amer. Statist. Assoc.
, 1995
"... JSTOR is a not-for-profit service that helps scholars, researchers, and students discover, use, and build upon a wide range of content in a trusted digital archive. We use information technology and tools to increase productivity and facilitate new forms of scholarship. For more information about J ..."
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Cited by 653 (18 self)
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JSTOR, please contact support@jstor.org. We describe and illustrate Bayesian inference in models for density estimation using mixtures of Dirichlet processes. These models provide natural settings for density estimation and are exemplified by special cases where data are modeled as a sample from
A Simple Estimator of Cointegrating Vectors in Higher Order Cointegrated Systems
- ECONOMETRICA
, 1993
"... Efficient estimators of cointegrating vectors are presented for systems involving deterministic components and variables of differing, higher orders of integration. The estimators are computed using GLS or OLS, and Wald Statistics constructed from these estimators have asymptotic x2 distributions. T ..."
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Cited by 524 (3 self)
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Efficient estimators of cointegrating vectors are presented for systems involving deterministic components and variables of differing, higher orders of integration. The estimators are computed using GLS or OLS, and Wald Statistics constructed from these estimators have asymptotic x2 distributions
A Study of Cross-Validation and Bootstrap for Accuracy Estimation and Model Selection
- INTERNATIONAL JOINT CONFERENCE ON ARTIFICIAL INTELLIGENCE
, 1995
"... We review accuracy estimation methods and compare the two most common methods: cross-validation and bootstrap. Recent experimental results on artificial data and theoretical results in restricted settings have shown that for selecting a good classifier from a set of classifiers (model selection), te ..."
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Cited by 1283 (11 self)
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We review accuracy estimation methods and compare the two most common methods: cross-validation and bootstrap. Recent experimental results on artificial data and theoretical results in restricted settings have shown that for selecting a good classifier from a set of classifiers (model selection
How much should we trust differences-in-differences estimates?
, 2003
"... Most papers that employ Differences-in-Differences estimation (DD) use many years of data and focus on serially correlated outcomes but ignore that the resulting standard errors are inconsistent. To illustrate the severity of this issue, we randomly generate placebo laws in state-level data on femal ..."
Abstract
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Cited by 828 (1 self)
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Most papers that employ Differences-in-Differences estimation (DD) use many years of data and focus on serially correlated outcomes but ignore that the resulting standard errors are inconsistent. To illustrate the severity of this issue, we randomly generate placebo laws in state-level data
Estimation of probabilities from sparse data for the language model component of a speech recognizer
- IEEE Transactions on Acoustics, Speech and Signal Processing
, 1987
"... Abstract-The description of a novel type of rn-gram language model is given. The model offers, via a nonlinear recursive procedure, a com-putation and space efficient solution to the problem of estimating prob-abilities from sparse data. This solution compares favorably to other proposed methods. Wh ..."
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Cited by 799 (2 self)
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of times it occurred in the sample text as c(wT). Then the maxi-mum likelihood estimate is
Linear models and empirical bayes methods for assessing differential expression in microarray experiments.
- Stat. Appl. Genet. Mol. Biol.
, 2004
"... Abstract The problem of identifying differentially expressed genes in designed microarray experiments is considered. Lonnstedt and Speed (2002) derived an expression for the posterior odds of differential expression in a replicated two-color experiment using a simple hierarchical parametric model. ..."
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Cited by 1321 (24 self)
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sample variances towards a pooled estimate, resulting in far more stable inference when the number of arrays is small. The use of moderated t-statistics has the advantage over the posterior odds that the number of hyperparameters which need to estimated is reduced; in particular, knowledge of the non
On the Use of Windows for Harmonic Analysis With the Discrete Fourier Transform
- Proc. IEEE
, 1978
"... Ahmw-This Pw!r mak = available a concise review of data win- compromise consists of applying windows to the sampled daws pad the ^ affect On the Of in the data set, or equivalently, smoothing the spectral samples. '7 of aoise9 m the ptesence of sdroag bar- The two operations to which we subject ..."
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Cited by 668 (0 self)
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, windowing is less related to sampled windows for DFT's. HERE IS MUCH signal processing devoted to detection and estimation. Detection is the task of determiningif a specific signal set is present in an observation, while estimation is the task of obtaining the values of the parameters
Measuring and testing the impact of news on volatility
, 1991
"... This paper introduces the News Impact Curve to measure how new information is incorporated into volatility estimates. A variety of new and existing ARCH models are compared and estimated with daily Japanese stock return data to determine the shape of the News Impact Curve. New diagnostic tests are p ..."
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Cited by 726 (14 self)
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This paper introduces the News Impact Curve to measure how new information is incorporated into volatility estimates. A variety of new and existing ARCH models are compared and estimated with daily Japanese stock return data to determine the shape of the News Impact Curve. New diagnostic tests
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