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Country Risk Components, the Cost of Capital, and Returns in Emerging Markets

by Campbell R. Harvey A
"... This paper examines the importance of political risk, the financial risk, and economic risk in portfolio and direct investment decisions. In addition, the components of each of these risk measures are examined. First, I explore whether any of these measures contain information about future expected ..."
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This paper examines the importance of political risk, the financial risk, and economic risk in portfolio and direct investment decisions. In addition, the components of each of these risk measures are examined. First, I explore whether any of these measures contain information about future expected

Risks for the long run: A potential resolution of asset pricing puzzles

by Ravi Bansal, Amir Yaron - JOURNAL OF FINANCE , 1994
"... We model consumption and dividend growth rates as containing (i) a small long-run predictable component and (ii) fluctuating economic uncertainty (consumption volatility). These dynamics, for which we provide empirical support, in conjunction with Epstein and Zin’s (1989) preferences, can explain ke ..."
Abstract - Cited by 761 (63 self) - Add to MetaCart
We model consumption and dividend growth rates as containing (i) a small long-run predictable component and (ii) fluctuating economic uncertainty (consumption volatility). These dynamics, for which we provide empirical support, in conjunction with Epstein and Zin’s (1989) preferences, can explain

Financial Intermediation and Growth: Causality and Causes

by Ross Levine, Norman Loayza, Thorsten Beck - JOURNAL OF MONETARY ECONOMICS , 2000
"... This paper evaluates (1) whether the exogenous component of financial intermediary development influences economic growth and (2) whether cross-country differences in legal and accounting systems (e.g., creditor rights, contract enforcement, and accounting standards) explain differences in the level ..."
Abstract - Cited by 819 (72 self) - Add to MetaCart
This paper evaluates (1) whether the exogenous component of financial intermediary development influences economic growth and (2) whether cross-country differences in legal and accounting systems (e.g., creditor rights, contract enforcement, and accounting standards) explain differences

Financial Dependence and Growth

by Raghuram G. Rajan, Luigi Zingales - American Economic Review , 1998
"... This paper examines whether nancial development facilitates economic growth by scrutinizing one rationale for such a relationship; that nancial development reduces the costs of external nance to rms. Speci cally, we ask whether industrial sectors that are relatively more in need of external nance de ..."
Abstract - Cited by 1086 (26 self) - Add to MetaCart
develop disproportionately faster in countries with more developed nancial markets. We nd this to be true in a large sample of countries over the 1980s. We show this result is unlikely to be driven by omitted variables, outliers, or reverse causality. (JEL O4, F3, G1) A large literature, dating at least

Estimating Wealth Effects without Expenditure Data— or Tears

by Deon Filmer, Lant Pritchett - Policy Research Working Paper 1980, The World , 1998
"... Abstract: We use the National Family Health Survey (NFHS) data collected in Indian states in 1992 and 1993 to estimate the relationship between household wealth and the probability a child (aged 6 to 14) is enrolled in school. A methodological difficulty to overcome is that the NFHS, modeled closely ..."
Abstract - Cited by 871 (16 self) - Add to MetaCart
closely on the Demographic and Health Surveys (DHS), measures neither household income nor consumption expenditures. As a proxy for long-run household wealth we construct a linear index from a set of asset indicators using principal components analysis to derive the weights. This “asset index ” is robust

Business cycles in emerging economies: the role of interest rates

by Pablo A. Neumeyer, Fabrizio Perri, O Alvarez, Isabel Correia, Patrick Kehoe, Enrique Mendoza, Juan Pablo Nicolini, Martin Schneider - Journal of Monetary Economics
"... We find that in a sample of emerging economies business cycles are more volatile than in developed ones, real interest rates are countercyclical and lead the cycle, consumption is more volatile than output and net exports are strongly countercyclical. We present a model of a small open economy, wher ..."
Abstract - Cited by 364 (8 self) - Add to MetaCart
, where the real interest rate is decomposed in an international rate and a country risk component. Country risk is affected by fundamental shocks but, through the presence of working capital, also amplifies the effects of those shocks. The model generates business cycles consistent with Argentine data

Trying to Explain Home Bias in Equities and Consumption

by Karen K. Lewis - Journal of Economic Literature , 1999
"... Domestic investors hold a substantially larger proportion of their wealth portfolios in domestic assets than standard portfolio theory would suggest, a phenomenon called "equity home bias. " In the absence of this bias, investors would optimally diversify domestic output risk using foreign ..."
Abstract - Cited by 460 (7 self) - Add to MetaCart
Domestic investors hold a substantially larger proportion of their wealth portfolios in domestic assets than standard portfolio theory would suggest, a phenomenon called "equity home bias. " In the absence of this bias, investors would optimally diversify domestic output risk using

Global burden of cardiovascular diseases: part I: general considerations, the epidemiologic transition, risk factors, and impact of urbanization. Circulation

by Salim Yusuf, Dphil Srinath Reddy, Md Stephanie Ôunpuu, Phd Sonia An
"... Abstract—This two-part article provides an overview of the global burden of atherothrombotic cardiovascular disease. Part I initially discusses the epidemiologic transition which has resulted in a decrease in deaths in childhood due to infections, with a concomitant increase in cardiovascular and ot ..."
Abstract - Cited by 420 (5 self) - Add to MetaCart
and other chronic diseases; and then provides estimates of the burden of cardiovascular (CV) diseases with specific focus on the developing countries. Next, we summarize key information on risk factors for cardiovascular disease (CVD) and indicate that their importance may have been underestimated. Then, we

The Determinants of Credit Spread Changes.

by Pierre Collin-Dufresne , Robert S Goldstein , J Spencer Martin , Gurdip Bakshi , Greg Bauer , Dave Brown , Francesca Carrieri , Peter Christoffersen , Susan Christoffersen , Greg Duffee , Darrell Duffie , Vihang Errunza , Gifford Fong , Mike Gallmeyer , Laurent Gauthier , Rick Green , John Griffin , Jean Helwege , Kris Jacobs , Chris Jones , Andrew Karolyi , Dilip Madan , David Mauer , Erwan Morellec , Federico Nardari , N R Prabhala , Tony Sanders , Sergei Sarkissian , Bill Schwert , Ken Singleton , Chester Spatt , René Stulz - Journal of Finance , 2001
"... ABSTRACT Using dealer's quotes and transactions prices on straight industrial bonds, we investigate the determinants of credit spread changes. Variables that should in theory determine credit spread changes have rather limited explanatory power. Further, the residuals from this regression are ..."
Abstract - Cited by 422 (2 self) - Add to MetaCart
are highly crosscorrelated, and principal components analysis implies they are mostly driven by a single common factor. Although we consider several macro-economic and financial variables as candidate proxies, we cannot explain this common systematic component. Our results suggest that monthly credit spread

The causes of corruption: a cross-national study

by Daniel Treisman , 2000
"... Why is corruption — the misuse of public office for private gain — perceived to be more widespread in some countries than others? Different theories associate this with particular historical and cultural traditions, levels of economic development, political institutions, and government policies. Thi ..."
Abstract - Cited by 397 (2 self) - Add to MetaCart
. This article analyzes several indexes of ‘perceived corruption’ compiled from business risk surveys for the 1980s and 1990s. Six arguments find support. Countries with Protestant traditions, histories of British rule, more developed economies, and (probably) higher imports were less ‘corrupt’. Federal states
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