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Table 2. Predicting future real GDP growth using the yield spread and lagged real GDP growth
2002
"... In PAGE 8: ...2). Table2 shows the estimation results for equation (2.2).... ..."
Cited by 2
Table 5. Predicting future real GDP growth using the decomposition of the yield spread
2002
"... In PAGE 13: ...variable estimation with variables such as the current interest rates, current spread or current inflation as the instruments. Table5 shows the estimation results for equation (2.... In PAGE 13: ... Thus, both the expected change of the short-term rate over n periods (the simple expectations hypothesis) and the time- varying term premium help predict real GDP growth up to 8 quarters ahead. Which factor contributes more to predicting real GDP growth? The results of a Wald test of the null hypothesis that the coefficient on the expected change of short-term rates over n -periods is equal to that of the term premium are shown in the fifth column of Table5 . Even though the estimated coefficients are similar, the null hypothesis is rejected in all cases where both estimated coefficients are statistically significant.... ..."
Cited by 2
Table 6. Predicting future real GDP growth using the decomposition of the logarithmic yield
2002
"... In PAGE 17: ...12) by instrumental variables with a constant and current interest rates as instruments. Table6 shows the estimation results. These results are quite similar with the results in Table 5.... ..."
Cited by 2
Table 3. Correlation coefficients relating the spatial predictions of water-yield change from the A simulations to those from B, C, and D for each future landscape condition.
"... In PAGE 4: ....85 7.15 10.6 A quantitative comparison of the predicted hydrologic response to landscape change was performed by computing the correlation coefficients between the water-yield change results for individual subwatersheds in each simulation period ( Table3 ). Results show strong correlations between the spatial change predicted by the A simulations and that predicted by the B, C, and D simulations.... ..."
Table 3: Value Today of $100 in the Future
2003
"... In PAGE 22: ...17 These certainty-equivalent discount rates translate into dramatic differences in the valuation of future consequences. Table3 shows the expected value today of $100 delivered at various points in the future (e.g.... In PAGE 23: ...Richard Newell and William Pizer 20 occur with the mean-reverting model but lag by 100 to 200 years (a factor of 2 after 250 years, and a factor of 20 after 380 years). Thus, Table3 provides a precise answer to the question posed by the title of this paper: How much do uncertain rates increase valuations? At horizons of several hundred years, the answer is, Quite a lot. After 400 years the random walk model, which we consider more convincing, increases the value by a factor of 7,000.... In PAGE 23: ... The mean-reverting model increases the value by a factor of 30.19 Because the numbers in Table3 represent expected values, one can alternatively combine the results based on the probability given to each model: simply weight the values by the appropriate probability (see footnote 11). Placing an equal probability on both models yields an increase in value of roughly 3,500 after 400 years.... In PAGE 24: ...1 A constant discount rate of 4.14% delivers a net present value of exactly $5.29. 22 At first glance, one might think based on Table3 that the effect should have been even greater. However, even though benefit flows in the distant future may be severely undercounted by discounting that ignores uncertainty, the error is not as great for near-term benefit flows, and near-term flows still carry greater weight than distant flows in... ..."
Cited by 4
Table 1 summarizes four unexpected patterns encountered in the critical software anomaly reports of the seven launched spacecraft. For example, changes or updates to procedures were involved in the fix to many critical anomalies (23%). This suggests that, for future spacecraft, assurance that needed procedures are in place may be high-yield in terms of reducing critical anomalies.
"... In PAGE 5: ... Problems resulted from a firewall configuration change. Table1 Summary of Unexpected Patterns We found, as well, that the occurrence of rare events that merited additional fault protection requirements triggered about one-third of the anomalies. This suggests that effort spent during development on analyzing failure scenarios is effort well-spent, since rare events do, in fact, cause critical anomalies.... ..."
Table 31: Year 2005 Improvements from Best of Industry Production Cost of Ethanol Reduced from $1.16 /gal to $0.94/gal Yield Increased 7% to 81 gal/ton
"... In PAGE 7: ...able 30 Near Term, Best of Industry Improvements from Base Case .....................................................61 Table31 Year 2005 Improvements from Best of Industry .... In PAGE 68: ... Finally, the higher temperature will eliminate the need for any chilled water (currently used for part of the year) in this area. Table31 lists the improved results in the year 2005. Cellulase enzyme activity in the SSCF fermenters will be improved by a factor of three times.... ..."
Table 7: Regression of changes in sek bond yield on lagged capital flow controlling for dem and itl bond yields and sek/dem exchange rate
"... In PAGE 10: ... In order to alleviate this problem we need to control bond returns for concurrent capital flows. Table7 show that capital flows con- tribute to explaining future bond returns even when returns are controlled for concurrent yield changes for dem and itl,aswellasthesek/dem exchange rate. Although the statistical signi cance of this result is low it implies that foreign investors are informed about pure Swedish fundamentals, in additional to pan-European fundamentals and future capital flows.... ..."
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