| D. Kahneman, P. Slovic, and A. Tversky, editors. Judgment under Uncertainty: Heuristics and Biases. Cambridge University Press, 1982. 5 |
....provided is a standard of reasoning against which a person s reasoning might be judged right or wrong, whereas commonsense reasoning is however people actually reason. For example, consider, as several of these authors do, the well known findings of Kahneman and Tversky (e.g. see the papers in [1]) where people consider the likelihood of a conjunction to be higher than that of either conjunct. If you think these subjects are making mistakes in their reasoning, you must be comparing their performance to some This is a preliminary version of Stuart C. Shapiro, Whose Norm , review of Rene ....
Kahneman, D. et al. (1982) Judgment under Uncertainty: Heuristics and Biases, Cambridge University Press
.... evidence of that type becomes available, would the experts ignore it because the process of constructing a BBN has made them less sensitive to evidence that is not formalised in the BBN More general questions concern the effectiveness of BBNs as aids for overcoming cognitive bias or group effects [Kahneman, Slovic, Tversky 1982, Wright, Ayton 1987, Strigini 1994] These problems, avoided at the level of using the BBN by applying the formal rules of probability, may yet affect the way the BBN itself is built, to a degree that will vary with the context of application, the professional backgrounds of the experts, etc. In ....
D. Kahneman, P. Slovic, and A. Tversky, Editors. Judgment Under Uncertainty: Heuristics and Biases. Cambridge University Press, 1982.
....intentions are the simplest case. In addition to the factors noted above, other processing factors such as the frequency and sallenee of beliefs contribute to dei iberation. Furthermore, preferences may be relevant, so that other thiugs being equal, human agents believe what they prefer to believe[8, 4]. These factors are reflected in the following assumptions: PREFERENCE: Agents beliefs are partially determined by their preferences about what to believe, which may have a nonlogical basis. AFFIRMATION: Repeating a i)roposition is a weak type of SUPPORT that provides evidence of the speaker s ....
Daniel Kahneman, Paul Slovic, and Amos Tversky. Judgment under uncertainty: heuristics and biases. Cambridge University Press, 1982.
....since the experts will provide the probabilities based on their own judgmental heuristics, medical knowledge, and past experiences. Three common heuristics: representativeness, availability, and anchoring and adjustment are often used to make decisions, despite the uncertainties in the outcomes [7][8][9] 10] We present the PROBability Elicitation System (PROBES probing the complex minds of experts for their beliefs ) that automates and facilitates the elicitation of unbiased and consistent subjective probabilities from domain experts in dynamic decision modeling. We evaluate the ....
Kahneman, D, Slovic, P. and Tversky, A. Judgment under uncertainty: Heuristics and biases. New York: Cambridge University Press. 1982.
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D. Kahneman, P. Slovic, and A. Tversky, editors. Judgment under Uncertainty: Heuristics and Biases. Cambridge University Press, 1982. 5
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Kahneman, D., Slovic, P., & Tversky, A. (Eds.). (1982). Judgment under uncertainty: Heuristics and biases. New York: Cambridge University Press.
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Kahneman, D., Slovic, P., & Tversky, A. (Eds.). (1982). Judgment under uncertainty: Heuristics and biases. New York: Cambridge University Press.
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Kahneman, D., Slovic, P., and Tversky, A. (Eds.) (1982).Judgment under Uncertainty: Heuristics and Biases. New York: Cambridge University Press.
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D. Kahneman, P. Slovic, and A. Tversky, editors. Judgment under Uncertainty: Heuristics and Biases. Cambridge University Press, 1982.
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D. Kahneman, P. Slovic, and A. Tversky. Judgment Under Uncertainty: Heuristics and Biases. Cambridge University Press, 1982.
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D. Kahneman, P. Slovic P., and A. Tversky. Judgment Under Uncertainty: Heuristics and Biases. Cambridge University Press, April 1982.
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D. Kahneman, P. S. P., and A. Tversky. Judgment Under Uncertainty: Heuristics and Biases. Cambridge University Press, April 1982.
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D. Kahneman, P. Slovic, A. Tversky, Judgment Under Uncertainty: Heuristics and Biases (Cambridge Univ. Press, Cambridge, 1982).
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Kahneman, Daniel; Slovic, Paul; and Tversky, Amos, editors 1982. Judgment Under Uncertainty: Heuristics and Biases. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge.
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Daniel Kahneman, Paul Slovic, and Amos Tversky, editors. Judgment Under Uncertainty: Heuristics and Biases. Cambridge University Press, 1982.
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Daniel Kahneman, Paul Slovic, and Amos Tversky, editors. Judgment Under Uncertainty: Heuristics and Biases. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, 1982.
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Daniel Kahneman, Paul Slovic, and Amos Tversky, editors. Judgment Under Uncertainty: Heuristics and Biases. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, 1982.
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D. Kahneman, P. Slovic, and A. Tversky, Judgment under uncertainty: Heuristics and biases. Cambridge: Cambridge University Press, 1982.
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Daniel Kahneman, Paul Slovic, and Amos Tversky, editors. Judgment Under Uncertainty: Heuristics and Biases. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, 1982.
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Daniel Kahneman, Paul Slovic, and Amos Tversky, editors. Judgment Under Uncertainty: Heuristics and Biases. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, 1982.
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D. Kahneman, P. Slovic, and A. Tversky. Judgment under Uncertainty: Heuristics and Biases, Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, 1982.
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Daniel Kahneman, Paul Slovic, and Amos Tversky, editors. Judgment under Uncertainty: Heuristics and Biases. Cambridge University Press, New York, NY, 1982. ISBN: 0-521-28414-7.
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D. Kahneman, P. Slovic, and A. Tversky, eds., Judgment under Uncertainty: Heuristics and Biases (Cambridge U. Press, Cambridge, UK, 1982).
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Kahneman D., Slovic P. and Tversky A. (1982; eds.). Judgment Under Uncertainty: Heuristics and Biases, Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, UK.
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Kahneman, D. and A. Tversky, Judgment under Uncertainty: Heuristics and Biases, Cambridge, MA: Cambridge University Press,
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