Chatfield, C., The Analysis of Time Series: An Introduction Chapman and Hall, London, 2nd ed., 1980. Home/Search Document Not in Database Summary Related Articles |
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Forecasting Uncertain Hotel Room Demand - Mihir Rajopadhye Mounir (Correct)
....performance with the right choice of model. Smoothing procedures discount past observations in predicting future data, but the manner in which past data is discounted is ad hoc [6] 2 The exponential smoothing procedure is a simple method to forecast future data based on past observations [8]. In this method, previous observations are discounted such that recent observations are given more weights and observations further in the past are given less weight. The weights decrease by a constant ratio, and thus lie on an exponential curve. This method, however, can be used only for ....
Chatfield, C., The Analysis of Time Series: An Introduction Chapman and Hall, London, 2nd ed., 1980.
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