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Predicting Uncertain Outcomes Using Information Markets  (Make Corrections)  
Yiling Chen Tracy Mullen Chao-Hsien Chu School of Information Sciences and...



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Abstract: In this paper, information markets are introduced as a promising mechanism for predicting uncertain outcomes. A model of information markets is proposed. Some fundamental properties on when information markets will converge to the most desirable equilibrium, direct communication equilibrium, are derived. (Update)

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0.3:   An In-Depth Analysis of Information - Markets With Aggregate   (Correct)
0.3:   Computation in a Distributed Information Market - Feigenbaum, Fortnow, al. (2004)   (Correct)

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BibTeX entry:   (Update)

@misc{ tracy-predicting,
  author = "Yiling Chen Tracy",
  title = "Predicting Uncertain Outcomes Using Information Markets",
  url = "citeseer.ist.psu.edu/757542.html" }
Citations (may not include all citations):
42   Models of Man (context) - Simon - 1957
31   Rationalizable strategic behavior (context) - Bernheim - 1984
9   We can't disagree forever (context) - Geanakoplos, Polemarchakis - 1982
5   Computation in a distributed information market - Feigenbaum, Fortnow et al. - 2003
2   Theoretical investigation of prediction markets with aggrega.. (context) - Chen, Mullen et al. - 2004
1   Information incorporation in online ingame sports betting ma.. (context) - Debnath, Pennock et al. - 2003
http://www.biz.uiowa.edu/iem/

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